Environmental Assessment of Cruise Ships and Superyachts with Multi-Criteria Evaluation of Marine Fuels

Abstract

Cruise ships and superyachts have experienced significant global expansion throughout the 21st century. Although the growth in cruise passenger numbers was temporarily disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic, occupancy rates have since rebounded and even exceeded pre-pandemic levels. This study highlights the significant environmental impact of cruise ships and luxury yachts, particularly in terms of air emissions and marine pollution. Emission levels associated with different fuel types and marine engines are analysed, including the average emissions generated by the Norwegian Cruise Line fleet while docked in ports, as well as the estimated emission reductions achievable through the implementation of onshore power supply systems. To identify environmentally preferable fuel options, a hybrid ANN/MCDM framework is applied. The weighting coefficients of eight evaluation criteria are determined using the Artificial Neural Network/Extreme Learning Machine (ANN/ELM) model, ensuring an objective and data-driven assessment of their relative importance. The ANN/ELM model was trained using emission and fuel-related data collected from the literature and industry reports, and its performance was validated using standard validation procedures, achieving satisfactory predictive accuracy for determining the weighting coefficients. The final ranking of eight fuel alternatives is subsequently performed using the Ranking Alternatives by Weighting of Evaluated Criteria (RAWEC) method. The considered alternatives include conventional and emerging marine fuels currently used in practice or under technological development (A1–A8), while the optimization criteria (C1–C8) encompass major air pollutants (CO2, NOx, SOx, CO, PM, CH4), the fuel cost-to-consumption ratio, and the potential impact on water pollution. The water pollution criterion is assessed qualitatively using the Saaty scale. The integrated ANN/ELM–RAWEC approach enables a systematic comparison of marine fuels and supports the identification of options with the lowest overall environmental impact.